Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#115
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#78
Pace67.6#177
Improvement-3.2#305

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#151
Improvement-4.7#339

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#97
Improvement+1.5#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2013 287   Ball St. W 82-73 91%     1 - 0 -1.9 +10.4 -11.7
  Nov 14, 2013 121   @ Belmont L 95-96 41%     1 - 1 +4.9 +10.5 -5.4
  Nov 17, 2013 88   @ Notre Dame W 83-70 31%     2 - 1 +21.8 +4.9 +15.9
  Nov 27, 2013 78   Tulsa L 62-63 39%     2 - 2 +5.6 -1.9 +7.5
  Nov 30, 2013 156   Pepperdine W 73-70 61%     3 - 2 +3.8 +8.4 -4.3
  Dec 07, 2013 299   @ Eastern Illinois W 66-48 82%     4 - 2 +11.8 -6.9 +19.6
  Dec 14, 2013 278   @ UMKC W 74-63 76%     5 - 2 +7.2 -3.9 +10.5
  Dec 18, 2013 42   @ Saint Louis L 66-83 18%     5 - 3 -3.7 +6.0 -10.0
  Dec 21, 2013 327   IUPUI W 81-61 95%     6 - 3 +5.1 +1.6 +3.9
  Dec 28, 2013 121   Belmont W 85-73 63%     7 - 3 +12.4 +3.3 +8.3
  Jan 01, 2014 231   Loyola Chicago W 70-58 84%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +5.1 +4.6 +2.5
  Jan 04, 2014 204   @ Evansville W 81-62 63%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +19.4 +10.8 +9.0
  Jan 08, 2014 176   @ Drake W 77-73 57%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +5.9 +8.4 -2.3
  Jan 11, 2014 199   Bradley W 62-59 79%     11 - 3 4 - 0 -2.0 -10.4 +8.4
  Jan 15, 2014 151   Missouri St. W 70-55 69%     12 - 3 5 - 0 +13.5 +5.5 +10.1
  Jan 18, 2014 7   @ Wichita St. L 48-68 8%     12 - 4 5 - 1 -0.4 -8.3 +5.4
  Jan 22, 2014 231   @ Loyola Chicago W 65-61 68%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +2.7 -3.7 +6.8
  Jan 25, 2014 150   Illinois St. W 76-62 69%     14 - 4 7 - 1 +12.6 +7.4 +5.5
  Jan 29, 2014 159   @ Southern Illinois L 60-79 51%     14 - 5 7 - 2 -15.7 -11.5 -4.2
  Feb 01, 2014 96   @ Northern Iowa W 87-81 34%     15 - 5 8 - 2 +13.8 +13.4 +0.3
  Feb 05, 2014 7   Wichita St. L 58-65 16%     15 - 6 8 - 3 +7.1 -4.1 +10.8
  Feb 09, 2014 176   Drake W 60-56 76%     16 - 6 9 - 3 +0.3 -5.7 +6.7
  Feb 12, 2014 199   @ Bradley W 68-62 62%     17 - 6 10 - 3 +6.6 -2.4 +9.1
  Feb 15, 2014 159   Southern Illinois W 60-57 72%     18 - 6 11 - 3 +0.7 -4.0 +5.2
  Feb 19, 2014 204   Evansville W 59-54 80%     19 - 6 12 - 3 -0.2 -5.6 +6.3
  Feb 22, 2014 151   @ Missouri St. L 66-77 48%     19 - 7 12 - 4 -6.9 -4.1 -3.1
  Feb 26, 2014 150   @ Illinois St. L 59-77 48%     19 - 8 12 - 5 -13.8 -7.9 -6.1
  Mar 01, 2014 96   Northern Iowa L 69-71 56%     19 - 9 12 - 6 +0.2 -6.3 +6.5
  Mar 07, 2014 231   Loyola Chicago W 75-62 77%     20 - 9 +8.9 +3.3 +6.3
  Mar 08, 2014 159   Southern Illinois W 62-59 62%     21 - 9 +3.5 -0.1 +4.2
  Mar 09, 2014 7   Wichita St. L 69-83 11%     21 - 10 +2.9 +5.9 -3.2
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%